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Compound Growth Without a Spreadsheet

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Compound Growth Without a Spreadsheet

Key takeaways

Compound growth is multiplication repeated, and a couple of rules of thumb turn it into mental arithmetic good enough for planning.

  • Doubling time ≈ 72 ÷ growth rate in percent.
  • At 6 % a year, money doubles in about 12 years.
  • The rule is accurate between roughly 4 % and 12 %.

The rule of 72

Divide 72 by the yearly growth rate to get the years to double. At 6 %: 72 ÷ 6 = 12 years. At 9 %: 8 years.

Why 72

The exact answer is ln 2 ÷ ln(1 + r), about 0.693 ÷ r for small r. 72 is close to 69.3 and divides neatly by 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9 and 12.

Beyond doubling

Tripling takes about 114 ÷ r years; tenfold takes about 240 ÷ r. At 8 %, money triples in 14 years and grows tenfold in 30.

When to stop estimating

Above 15 % or so, the rule drifts. Use the formula, or the calculator on this site.

Related questions

  • How long does it take to double money at 7 %?

Sources

  1. Rule of 72 – Wikipedia

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